BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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East Carolina

Class: 1 Class Rank: 196 Conference: American Athletic Record: (6-11) Overall: (15-15) Overall Strength =   21.07

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-08-2022 Home    W    18.11  77  75    1 227 ( 14- 19) Mercer                 -2.96      4.96                      
  2 11-12-2022 Home    W    26.30  77  57    1 333 (  5- 27) Presbyterian            5.23     14.77                      
  3 11-16-2022 Home    W    13.54  82  73    1 352 (  8- 24) Hampton                -7.53     16.53                      
  4 11-21-2022 Neutral L    24.47  75  79    1  92 ( 22- 12) Indiana St              3.40     -7.40                      
  5 11-22-2022 Neutral W    40.28  86  75    1  87 ( 25-  6) Toledo                 19.21     -8.21                      
  6 11-23-2022 Neutral W    32.38  79  65    1 232 ( 11- 20) UT Arlington           11.31      2.69                      
  7 11-26-2022 Away    L     5.02  50  71    1 164 ( 19- 12) Old Dominion          -16.06     -4.94                      
  8 11-29-2022 Home    L     0.45  68  73    1 340 (  5- 25) S Carolina St         -20.62     15.62                      
  9 12-02-2022 Home    W    25.28  79  69    1 229 ( 16- 17) Campbell                4.21      5.79                      
 10 12-06-2022 Away    L    12.23  61  74    1 180 ( 22-  9) UNC Wilmington         -8.84     -4.16                      
 11 12-11-2022 Home    W    15.77  84  75    1 344 (  9- 22) Coppin St              -5.30     14.30                      
 12 12-17-2022 Neutral W    27.28  64  56    1 219 ( 11- 20) South Carolina          6.21      1.79                      
 13 12-21-2022 Home    W    21.74  60  49    1 303 ( 14- 17) High Point              0.67     10.33                      
 14 12-28-2022 Home    L *  20.93  57  59    1 113 ( 16- 14) Temple                 -0.14     -1.86                      
 15 12-31-2022 Away    W *  40.19  79  69    1 110 ( 15- 14) Wichita St             19.12     -9.12                      
 16 01-04-2023 Home    L *  25.38  61  64    1  64 ( 16- 13) UCF                     4.31     -7.31                      
 17 01-07-2023 Away    L *  27.49  59  69    1  33 ( 23-  7) Memphis                 6.42    -16.42                      
 18 01-11-2023 Away    L *   7.30  55  83    1  65 ( 19- 11) Cincinnati            -13.77    -14.23                      
 19 01-15-2023 Home    L *   9.78  70  81    1 140 ( 14- 16) South Florida         -11.29      0.29                      
 20 01-18-2023 Away    L *  14.68  58  73    1 113 ( 16- 14) Temple                 -6.39     -8.61                      
 21 01-24-2023 Home    W *  20.09  76  66    1 301 (  5- 24) Tulsa                  -0.98     10.98                      
 22 01-29-2023 Home    L *  10.44  72  85    1 110 ( 15- 14) Wichita St            -10.63     -2.37                      
 23 02-01-2023 Away    L *  19.53  63  71    1 140 ( 14- 16) South Florida          -1.54     -6.46                      
 24 02-04-2023 Home    W *  23.18  77  72    1 174 ( 10- 20) SMU                     2.11      2.89                      
 25 02-15-2023 Home    W *  32.55  75  71    1  65 ( 19- 11) Cincinnati             11.48     -7.48                      
 26 02-19-2023 Away    L *   8.93  70  86    1 174 ( 10- 20) SMU                   -12.14     -3.86                      
 27 02-21-2023 Away    W *  18.84  62  60    1 301 (  5- 24) Tulsa                  -2.23      4.23                      
 28 02-25-2023 Home    L *  22.42  57  76    1   3 ( 28-  2) Houston                 1.35    -20.35                      
 29 03-01-2023 Home    W *  39.39  83  68    1  97 ( 18- 10) Tulane                 18.32     -3.32                      
 30 03-03-2023 Away    L *  28.14  78  81    1  97 ( 18- 10) Tulane                  7.07    -10.07                      
 31 03/05/2023 Away      *                   1  64 ( 16- 13) UCF                             -14.30            
      Averages              21.07  69.8 70.8

Best game:   40.28 = 11 point win over Toledo
Worst game:   0.45 = 5 point loss to S Carolina St
Team stdev:  10.21